Greece should be able to pay the ECB €3.5bn debt redemption due on Monday
with the help of the €7bn bridge loan agreed last week. On top of that, the
Greek government should settle the IMF missed payments (€1.54bn in June and the
€0.45bn from last Monday) and the €0.45bn arrears to the Bank of Greece (SDR
money used to pay back the IMF in May).
Last week's deal followed by the vote at the Greek and other national parliaments enabled the opening up of the formal negotiation process for a third bailout. According to the ESM, it may take up to four weeks to have the three-year programme ready.
However risks that this will take longer are high. According to the EU Commission, Greece's borrowing needs are close to €80bn, of which €40bn to €60bn is likely to come from the ESM and the remainder from the IMF.
However, acccording to Societe Generale, the IMF's financial involvement is questionable, given
1) Its already high exposure to Greece, and;
2) The IMF's view that Greek debt is unsustainable.
As a result, drafting the new programme is likely to prove more problematic and lengthier than hoped by EU leaders.
Finally, as part of the deal, the Greek government committed to drawing up a first proposal for de-politicising Greek administration under the guidance of the EU Commission by Monday next and agreed it would seek Greek parliament approval of the Code of Civil Procedure (overhaul of the civil justice system) as well as transposition of the Bank Resolution and Recovery Directive (BRRD) by Wednesday 22 July.
#FX
#Forex
#SaleForex
#GreeceExit
#Repay_ECB
#Repay_IMF
#EU_Commission
Last week's deal followed by the vote at the Greek and other national parliaments enabled the opening up of the formal negotiation process for a third bailout. According to the ESM, it may take up to four weeks to have the three-year programme ready.
However risks that this will take longer are high. According to the EU Commission, Greece's borrowing needs are close to €80bn, of which €40bn to €60bn is likely to come from the ESM and the remainder from the IMF.
However, acccording to Societe Generale, the IMF's financial involvement is questionable, given
1) Its already high exposure to Greece, and;
2) The IMF's view that Greek debt is unsustainable.
As a result, drafting the new programme is likely to prove more problematic and lengthier than hoped by EU leaders.
Finally, as part of the deal, the Greek government committed to drawing up a first proposal for de-politicising Greek administration under the guidance of the EU Commission by Monday next and agreed it would seek Greek parliament approval of the Code of Civil Procedure (overhaul of the civil justice system) as well as transposition of the Bank Resolution and Recovery Directive (BRRD) by Wednesday 22 July.
#FX
#Forex
#SaleForex
#GreeceExit
#Repay_ECB
#Repay_IMF
#EU_Commission
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